PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cashgame12

0xd0bc096b8f4b0565a163cf155cf5f6843b6d7714

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$13.8k
Markets traded
549
Open portfolio
$2.78

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar15.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded549
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New People win the next Sverdlovsk Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.5000.026$0.53$9.47
Will Communists of Russia win the next Karelia Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.013$0.29$0.50
Will Rodina win the next Karelia Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.011$0.26$0.54
Will Communists of Russia win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.004$0.25$1.75
Will Yabloko win the next Karelia Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.010$0.22$0.57
Will LDPR win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.006$0.20$0.91
Will Party of Pensioners win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.003$0.14$1.87
Will CPRF win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.002$0.11$1.89
Will Yabloko win the next Sverdlovsk Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.005$0.10$0.61
Will Party of Pensioners win the next Karelia Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.004$0.10$0.69
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1670.081$0.09$0.10
Will The Greens win the next Karelia Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.004$0.09$0.70
Will New People win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.003$0.08$1.03
Will New People win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.005$0.07$0.36
Will CPRF win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0360.005$0.06$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 09:27Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 2?BUY0.71$3.55
07-31 09:27Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 2?BUY0.97$4.85
07-31 09:27Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on August 2?BUY0.81$4.05
07-31 09:27Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 2?BUY0.51$2.55
07-31 09:27Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 2?BUY0.98$4.90
07-31 08:57Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on July 31?SELL0.001$0.01
07-31 08:56Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on July 31?SELL0.001$0.01
07-31 08:56Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 31?SELL0.001$0.01
07-31 08:56Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 31?SELL0.005$0.03
07-31 08:56Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 31?BUY0.6199999651$3.20
07-31 08:56Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 31?BUY0.97$4.85
07-31 08:56Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 31?BUY0.84$4.20
07-31 08:56Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 31?BUY0.76$3.80
07-31 08:55Will Daniele Monroe-Moreno win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?BUY0.2799998841$1.45
07-31 08:55Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?BUY0.69$3.45