PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD0b84EFe4ceaB58FBf4D406CcFb4E9C22B2ce9e2-1733256814312

0xd0b84efe4ceab58fbf4d406ccfb4e9c22b2ce9e2

Realised P&L
$-81.32
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$25.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22? · No0.9920.993$25.01+$0.01
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · No0.9980.000$0.00−$64.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19? · No0.9980.000$0.00−$23.00
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · No0.9970.000$0.00−$19.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 23:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?BUY0.9919999962$25.00
10-19 02:45Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.996$19.00
10-16 22:09Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?BUY0.997$33.10
10-12 09:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 12?BUY0.997$29.00
10-11 07:58Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.995$17.00
10-10 12:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 10?BUY0.9979999957$32.40
10-06 04:38Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.998$20.50
10-04 18:04Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.996$15.30
10-03 22:31Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?BUY0.9939999795$21.00
10-02 01:19Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.9970893144$27.00
09-29 07:55Will Solana reach $140 in September?BUY0.9939999999$28.30
09-28 02:51Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 21-27?BUY0.9969999559$14.00
09-23 09:40Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.998$30.00
09-20 05:47Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 20?BUY0.998$20.00
09-14 15:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?BUY0.9979999494$17.00