naaaabyyy
0xd0b0229476be844fca2f83f57618559647bf276f
- Realised P&L
- $14.39
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $138.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.895 | 0.118 | $108.86 | −$716.80 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.989 | $29.61 | +$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$301.76at 0.570Devils vs. Blue Jackets
- +$225.59at 0.570Stars vs. Avalanche
- +$113.40at 0.450Lightning vs. Senators
- +$64.86at 0.440Vikings vs. Rams
- +$58.73at 0.550Celtics vs. Rockets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 05:41 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9681653739 | $29.00 |
| 04-02 09:39 | Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.08 |
| 03-07 13:51 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9709999758 | $27.26 |
| 02-02 12:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | BUY | 0.988999979 | $26.96 |
| 01-08 09:30 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.895 | $825.63 |
| 01-06 11:35 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8929999999 | $611.91 |
| 01-06 09:08 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8937867681 | $824.75 |
| 01-05 08:56 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8848978321 | $821.86 |
| 01-04 09:46 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799999997 | $114.92 |
| 01-04 09:46 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.879 | $101.08 |
| 01-04 09:45 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8743158094 | $600.00 |
| 01-03 15:03 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8699566452 | $799.43 |
| 01-03 14:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January? | BUY | 0.986 | $26.59 |
| 12-26 12:59 | Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27? | BUY | 0.9799999857 | $26.05 |
| 12-20 12:42 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | BUY | 0.9827605453 | $25.61 |