0xD0aDe10Dbfd80CfD48c0E876b640796ae67bb23E-1771294759575
0xd0ade10dbfd80cfd48c0e876b640796ae67bb23e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $541.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,045
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,045
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.203 | $1.5k | +$245.06 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No | 0.156 | 0.195 | $1.3k | +$265.24 |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · No | 0.309 | 0.350 | $1.2k | +$145.14 |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.355 | $797.06 | +$8.50 |
| Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.790 | $395.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.695 | $217.00 | +$23.32 |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · No | 0.724 | 0.665 | $99.75 | −$8.85 |
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.655 | $65.57 | −$6.51 |
| Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.215 | $32.27 | −$2.75 |
| Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.113 | $31.47 | +$1.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$873.18at 0.127Will Zeus Win MSI Finals MVP
- +$756.74at 0.391Will Dplus Challengers Win Asia Masters 2026
- +$585.29at 0.415Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
- +$504.80at 0.668Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$402.94at 0.652Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 07:08 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2 | $34.36 |
| 09-30 07:08 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.199 | $4.98 |
| 09-30 07:04 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.37 | $59.57 |
| 09-30 07:00 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.36 | $54.00 |
| 09-30 06:59 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.36 | $202.05 |
| 09-30 06:28 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 09-30 06:28 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 09-30 06:27 | Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.02 |
| 09-30 06:25 | Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.106 | $29.65 |
| 09-30 06:23 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 09-30 06:16 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.07 |
| 09-30 06:11 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.19 | $33.89 |
| 09-30 06:10 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.19 | $12.49 |
| 09-30 06:10 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.19 | $12.55 |
| 09-30 05:12 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.36 | $12.24 |