0xd0a86bde0d515ac36296bc0f8258f66f9e3da7cc
- Realised P&L
- $13.07
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $136.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.988 | 0.976 | $136.64 | −$1.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.12at 0.961MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$4.16at 0.967Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$2.43at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 14?
- +$1.44at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.79at 0.992EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 08:00 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9878571429 | $138.30 |
| 05-24 08:00 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $137.90 |
| 05-01 10:14 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $136.06 |
| 05-01 10:03 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $134.87 |
| 03-31 00:45 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.961 | $66.23 |
| 03-31 00:45 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.998 | $129.74 |
| 03-24 10:32 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9919087692 | $128.95 |
| 03-24 10:32 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 03-20 04:54 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.967 | $106.08 |
| 03-15 07:13 | Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 03-14 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 03-14 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $125.44 |