0xd09E51897E428D08A4D269B4a191f7bD7775d3be-1772734287906
0xd09e51897e428d08a4d269b4a191f7bd7775d3be
- Realised P&L
- $-16.15
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $67.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.59at 0.092Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$30.33at 0.300Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
- +$21.46at 0.387Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
- +$13.52at 0.432Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$7.15at 0.588Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 20:54 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $47.80 |
| 06-08 17:08 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1499999806 | $5.80 |
| 05-24 17:33 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | BUY | 0.9499019065 | $100.00 |
| 05-20 20:58 | Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority? | SELL | 0.995 | $35.13 |
| 05-17 20:19 | Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 20:19 | Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 18:24 | Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election? | BUY | 0.2079998486 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 18:15 | Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.41 |
| 05-17 17:59 | Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 17:57 | Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 33 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election? | BUY | 0.1155867393 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 22:24 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0439999932 | $5.91 |
| 05-16 22:03 | Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1714285582 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 22:01 | Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.5760997948 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 21:46 | Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 21:28 | Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |