PolyBot

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Traders

Marclacasse1

0xd098b00cf6781b966af5f1c727476a61d88b3307

Realised P&L
$-400.06
Volume
$62.0k
Markets traded
449
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded449
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 04:00Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.162$32.12
09-01 03:59Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.5$18.45
07-19 19:00Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.2085542836$11.30
07-19 18:59Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.53$19.27
07-15 21:14Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.0182996$0.91
07-15 21:05Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.418$81.87
06-19 03:54Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2769626326$15.00
06-18 19:24Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.29999997$5.00
06-18 19:23Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
06-18 19:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1179999906$10.00
06-18 19:17Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849999901$15.00
06-11 19:142026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4399999971$67.77
06-09 05:35Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0709999954$14.08
06-09 03:51Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.5499999931$20.00
06-06 19:59Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.0408637738$3.00