molinabro
0xd09763942d4e2bba7dd45085b520df159b0ce127
- Realised P&L
- $84.93
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 753
- Open portfolio
- $340.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded753
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.08at 0.716Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?
- +$35.59at 0.724Will Solana dip to $70 in July?
- +$33.51at 0.743Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?
- +$25.63at 0.795Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?
- +$24.24at 0.819Will Solana reach $80 on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:45 | Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 13:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 25? | BUY | 0.5899999303 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 09:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9449993213 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 09:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9429999666 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 09:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9609999991 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 09:11 | Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 08:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 24? | BUY | 0.6299999084 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 08:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.7399998924 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 08:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 25? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.20 |
| 09-19 03:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.8189999397 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 03:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.8399998778 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 01:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.7899994685 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 00:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.8089999198 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 00:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.6589999017 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 00:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.5899999303 | $1.10 |