PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD08bc58C93BEa35BaA00Ecea01107669D8a0FD69-1773490146256

0xd08bc58c93bea35baa00ecea01107669d8a0fd69

Realised P&L
$-3.76
Volume
$27.0k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$15.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No0.9970.999$15.98+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:15Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30?BUY0.997$15.95
07-03 06:51Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.96
06-22 07:58Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$9.92
05-19 04:14Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$9.92
05-11 08:15Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.003$7.50
04-25 04:13Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$8.40
04-23 08:12Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.81
04-22 09:02Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.007$9.73
04-21 08:24Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011$9.79
04-20 07:48Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.76
03-18 03:58Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.972$629.86
03-17 09:07Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.978$633.74
02-28 16:41Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?SELL0.999$20.20
02-12 01:06Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?BUY0.9859999997$19.94