lukaskabral
0xd0837feb4d7c3972c510abf3306f4b99b6f280db
- Realised P&L
- $-119.94
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $85.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner · Team Falcons | 0.480 | 0.465 | $52.08 | −$1.68 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner · Spirit | 0.520 | 0.525 | $33.86 | +$0.32 |
| Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) · T1 Academy | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.29 |
| Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) · Team Heretics | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.25 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C · 100 Thieves | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$203.04 |
| Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners · Under | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.51at 0.532Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-06?
- +$40.87at 0.837Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
- +$31.44at 0.876Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-09-02?
- +$20.81at 0.740Call of Duty: FaZe Clan vs The Pit - Game 2 Winner
- +$7.48at 0.582Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:28 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $53.76 |
| 10-08 17:09 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.52 | $33.54 |
| 09-18 14:32 | Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.64 | $38.97 |
| 08-30 16:57 | Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-09-02? | BUY | 0.8699999997 | $220.00 |
| 08-16 18:12 | Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5699999788 | $10.20 |
| 08-13 16:25 | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C | BUY | 0.45 | $203.04 |
| 08-10 19:35 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B | BUY | 0.8299999997 | $208.18 |
| 08-06 17:07 | Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $110.68 |
| 08-05 14:23 | Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4099999954 | $32.29 |
| 08-05 14:06 | Call of Duty: FaZe Clan vs The Pit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.73 | $58.40 |
| 08-02 17:21 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $37.25 |