PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

keroror

0xd07c8f0efbe67bd01fe4e4a721094457ba31e419

Realised P&L
$8.98
Volume
$18.2k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$47.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 15:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.0299999999$5.00
10-17 15:13Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 18?BUY0.062988359$5.00
10-17 15:13Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?BUY0.178217819$5.00
10-17 15:12Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18?BUY0.3254822883$5.00
10-17 15:12Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.2616278948$5.00
10-17 15:12Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18?BUY0.2084397071$5.00
10-17 15:12Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 18?BUY0.0994406464$6.00
10-17 15:12Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?BUY0.1658536521$2.00
10-17 15:11Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 18?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-17 15:11Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18?BUY0.2084787907$2.00
10-17 15:11Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-17 15:11Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18?BUY0.32$1.00
10-17 15:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?BUY0.0247524752$1.00
10-17 15:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?BUY0.1181818107$1.00
10-17 15:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 18?BUY0.3099999473$1.00