keroror
0xd07c8f0efbe67bd01fe4e4a721094457ba31e419
- Realised P&L
- $8.98
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $47.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.11at 0.064Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$28.41at 0.034Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$23.63at 0.080Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$7.75at 0.114Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on February 18?
- +$7.27at 0.579Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on March 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.062988359 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.178217819 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.3254822883 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.2616278948 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.2084397071 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0994406464 | $6.00 |
| 10-17 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.1658536521 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.2084787907 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0247524752 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.1181818107 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |