gdfgdfg
0xd07c740cfc939bd596bc69f7c553316a52beb02b
- Realised P&L
- $-6.99
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.935 | $1.08 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.840Will the Republican candidate win Michigan by 4.0% or more?
- +$1.23at 0.620Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?
- +$1.21at 0.540Spread: Bowling (-3.5)
- +$0.89at 0.530Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- +$0.31at 0.830Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 08:37 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $104.89 |
| 06-23 08:37 | Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.995 | $100.30 |
| 06-22 09:39 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $105.00 |
| 06-22 09:38 | Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.996 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 09:38 | Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 06-22 09:38 | Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.996 | $100.00 |
| 05-14 05:12 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.989 | $176.28 |
| 05-14 05:12 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $80.16 |
| 05-14 05:12 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.968 | $77.67 |
| 05-11 07:49 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.993 | $177.00 |
| 05-11 07:48 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $80.00 |
| 05-11 07:48 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $79.68 |
| 05-11 07:48 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $80.00 |
| 05-11 07:48 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.997 | $80.00 |
| 04-03 13:47 | Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.999 | $330.00 |