0xd06e52430b6c2914e143c812ad558e9eafde6835
0xd06e52430b6c2914e143c812ad558e9eafde6835
- Realised P&L
- $-199.52
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 253
- Open portfolio
- $11.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded253
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.908 | 0.992 | $11.90 | +$1.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.99at 0.050M15 Tsaghkadzor, Main Draw: Completed Match: Dmitry Popko vs Grigory Shebekin
- +$24.01at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22?
- +$15.10at 0.560Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?
- +$15.00at 0.700Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 0°C on September 23?
- +$14.81at 0.403Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.22 |
| 10-20 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | SELL | 0.018 | $9.17 |
| 10-20 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.31 |
| 10-20 00:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.10 |
| 10-18 14:06 | Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.908 | $10.90 |
| 10-18 04:51 | CF Cruz Azul vs. FC Juárez: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $5.04 |
| 10-18 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.99 |
| 10-17 17:53 | Spread: Viking FK (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $5.94 |
| 10-17 05:27 | Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 20:30 | Spread: Frosinone Calcio (-2.5) | SELL | 0.46 | $2.80 |
| 10-16 20:28 | Spread: Frosinone Calcio (-2.5) | BUY | 0.82 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 20:15 | Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5) | SELL | 0.39 | $2.50 |
| 10-16 19:04 | Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5) | BUY | 0.78 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 18:37 | Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | SELL | 0.39 | $2.67 |
| 10-16 18:36 | Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.73 | $4.99 |