9936
0xd069f9fccf0668048c2f77ff6a2c7fd3f22a3f6f
- Realised P&L
- $-58.73
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $14.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.645 | $14.54 | −$1.46 |
| Will Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.52 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Broncos vs. Jets · Jets | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump say "weave" during Michigan rally on October 18? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.82at 0.846Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 3?
- +$0.74at 0.710Debate Bingo - Card 1
- +$0.53at 0.930Will Solana reach $300 in October?
- +$-0.00at 0.998Will Trump lead in RCP on Sept 6?
- +$-0.00at 0.987GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 07:32 | Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999956 | $16.00 |
| 11-03 05:45 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 11-03 05:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.8459999912 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 10:30 | Broncos vs. Jets | BUY | 0.2299999963 | $47.00 |
| 10-10 10:13 | Will Solana reach $300 in October? | BUY | 0.929999996 | $7.00 |
| 10-18 10:50 | Will Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 10-17 05:09 | Will Trump say "weave" during Michigan rally on October 18? | BUY | 0.2599998725 | $1.02 |
| 09-09 09:18 | Debate Bingo - Card 1 | BUY | 0.7099999606 | $1.80 |
| 09-04 08:55 | Will Biden finish his term? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.97 |
| 09-04 08:55 | GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%? | SELL | 0.986 | $4.97 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will Trump lead in RCP on Sept 6? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024? | SELL | 0.997 | $998.99 |
| 09-04 08:37 | Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 08:36 | Will Trump lead in RCP on Sept 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 08:36 | Will Biden finish his term? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |