PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fire13

0xd063422a28763b6ce0b2640f27867ed1e3555ccd

Realised P&L
$-440.60
Volume
$291.1k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.3090.830$1.1k+$706.62
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0520.181$896.67+$637.43
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.1400.300$409.28+$217.69
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.1760.300$366.45+$151.81
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.1000.330$330.00+$230.00
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.7370.840$166.16+$20.38
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4740.195$56.12$80.27
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? · Yes0.3810.000$0.00$97.04
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? · No0.6430.000$0.00$3.2k
No airdrop in 2025? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00$45.15
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No0.1150.000$0.00$362.63
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025? · No0.5550.000$0.00$933.62
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$2.73
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28? · No0.3290.000$0.00$138.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 12:56Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999055$2.06
08-13 12:51Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.051$2.29
07-24 15:35Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999964$22.53
07-24 15:30Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?BUY0.725$123.25
07-24 15:29Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.8663675832$149.66
07-01 12:41Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.0648759512$11.82
07-01 12:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.007$12.72
06-23 13:19Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.35$8.78
06-23 13:18Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.35$1.75
06-23 13:17Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.36$2.94
06-23 13:17Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.2379286308$37.20
06-23 13:16Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.3599999205$1.63
06-23 13:15Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.35$1.75
06-23 13:13Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.3533288859$5.30
06-23 13:12Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.31$9.55