Fire13
0xd063422a28763b6ce0b2640f27867ed1e3555ccd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $296.8k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.471Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.748Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
- +$927.73at 0.662Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
- +$867.48at 0.559Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition
- +$857.12at 0.106US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 08:18 | Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.744117153 | $293.63 |
| 10-30 08:13 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $35.60 |
| 10-30 08:11 | Will Fhenix launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 10-30 08:11 | Will Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8529628149 | $213.33 |
| 10-30 08:11 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $563.50 |
| 10-13 16:37 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3107973136 | $16.92 |
| 10-13 16:35 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $46.50 |
| 10-13 16:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 10-13 16:31 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $76.50 |
| 10-09 17:45 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999992 | $9.55 |
| 10-09 17:43 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1497672858 | $555.59 |
| 10-09 17:43 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $603.56 |
| 08-13 12:56 | Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999055 | $2.06 |
| 08-13 12:51 | Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.051 | $2.29 |
| 07-24 15:35 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999964 | $22.53 |