PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fire13

0xd063422a28763b6ce0b2640f27867ed1e3555ccd

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$296.8k
Markets traded
142
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded142
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1500.195$735.81+$170.67
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.1400.315$429.74+$238.15
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.1000.305$305.00+$205.00
Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7440.685$270.30−$23.33
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4740.915$263.33+$126.94
Will Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8530.920$230.09+$16.77
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.7650.830$196.66+$15.28
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0520.006$29.64−$229.60
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · No0.3090.062$14.54−$57.88
Will Fhenix launch a token by March 31, 2027? · No0.3500.470$14.10+$3.60
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.1760.006$7.32−$207.33
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? · Yes0.3810.000$0.00−$97.04
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? · No0.6430.000$0.00−$3.2k
No airdrop in 2025? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00−$45.15
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No0.1150.000$0.00−$362.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 08:18Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.744117153$293.63
10-30 08:13Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$35.60
10-30 08:11Will Fhenix launch a token by March 31, 2027?BUY0.35$10.50
10-30 08:11Will Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8529628149$213.33
10-30 08:11Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.95$563.50
10-13 16:37Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3107973136$16.92
10-13 16:35Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?BUY0.31$46.50
10-13 16:32Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3$9.00
10-13 16:31Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.9$76.50
10-09 17:45Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999992$9.55
10-09 17:43Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1497672858$555.59
10-09 17:43Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.89$603.56
08-13 12:56Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999055$2.06
08-13 12:51Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.051$2.29
07-24 15:35Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999964$22.53