PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Rayse

0xd06113c05feb46f15749d02b7bb920122213d5e4

Realised P&L
$-5.3k
Volume
$949.0k
Markets traded
381
Open portfolio
$428.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded381
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 19:25Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.22$11.00
10-13 19:38Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.21$46.41
10-13 19:28Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.051$37.18
10-07 15:09US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.36$2.16
10-07 12:58Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?BUY0.39$5.07
10-07 11:21US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?BUY0.098$9.80
10-07 11:00Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?BUY0.055$0.28
10-07 10:55Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.37$37.00
10-07 10:44Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1$20.00
10-07 10:37Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.28$28.00
10-07 10:27Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
09-02 00:56Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
09-02 00:39Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?BUY0.105$1.07
09-02 00:09Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?BUY0.0810692$12.16
08-26 01:10Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.611$21.38