Rayse
0xd06113c05feb46f15749d02b7bb920122213d5e4
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $949.0k
- Markets traded
- 381
- Open portfolio
- $428.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded381
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$428.45at 0.321US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$351.22at 0.765Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
- +$326.11at 0.459Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
- +$241.78at 0.365Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
- +$194.00at 0.015Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 35% and 40% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 19:25 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 10-13 19:38 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $46.41 |
| 10-13 19:28 | Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.051 | $37.18 |
| 10-07 15:09 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.16 |
| 10-07 12:58 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.07 |
| 10-07 11:21 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | BUY | 0.098 | $9.80 |
| 10-07 11:00 | Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.055 | $0.28 |
| 10-07 10:55 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 10-07 10:44 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 10:37 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 10-07 10:27 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 00:56 | Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 00:39 | Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? | BUY | 0.105 | $1.07 |
| 09-02 00:09 | Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? | BUY | 0.0810692 | $12.16 |
| 08-26 01:10 | Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.611 | $21.38 |