0xd050ca9fa97be028e799caa975e13b3caa0cbf65
0xd050ca9fa97be028e799caa975e13b3caa0cbf65
- Realised P&L
- $-122.06
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $254.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.835 | $129.78 | +$59.78 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.685 | $38.06 | +$8.06 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.130 | $26.41 | −$23.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.585 | $25.43 | −$4.57 |
| China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina · Qinwen Zheng | 0.430 | 0.435 | $20.23 | +$0.23 |
| China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek · Elise Mertens | 0.211 | 0.195 | $14.63 | −$1.23 |
| China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva · Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$268.33at 0.184China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva
- +$69.33at 0.237China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens
- +$67.75at 0.323China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic
- +$67.03at 0.441Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$44.12at 0.549Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 00:42 | China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 00:42 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 10:38 | China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.2113333333 | $15.85 |
| 10-07 10:37 | China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 12:25 | China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 12:25 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 05:31 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 05:31 | China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 05:31 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 09:00 | China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 08:04 | China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 14:13 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 14:10 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.2239999982 | $8.00 |
| 10-03 14:09 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.2249999972 | $8.00 |
| 10-03 12:43 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $20.00 |