PolyBot

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Traders

Plata-O-Mierda

0xd04b6d4e26272a26145ad3367d48a3dcf694842a

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$106.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$40.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.4170.365$22.3k$3.2k
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.4950.475$18.5k$786.90
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 22:10Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.36$1.80
09-15 22:09Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.48$3.36
09-15 22:08Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.36$1.80
09-15 16:02Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.38$3.80
09-15 15:17Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.38$11.40
09-15 15:16Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.38$95.00
09-15 15:16Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.38$190.00
09-15 13:24Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.39$155.41
09-15 13:12Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.39$19.50
09-15 12:43Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.38$13.49
09-15 12:43Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.38$141.86
09-15 12:20Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.3885248332$52.41
09-15 12:16Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.37$1.85
09-15 12:14Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.37$13.69
09-15 12:14Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.3659297793$1.4k