PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

muskyj

0xd047391ecb21cc710cf57178e5a63feb541f7678

Realised P&L
$24.16
Volume
$75.6k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$76.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2650.325$26.00+$4.80
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.5840.590$21.83+$0.21
Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.5500.645$19.34+$2.85
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2460.105$9.45−$12.66
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? · No0.9660.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 17:24Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.59$17.70
10-31 17:23Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.55$16.49
06-06 18:51Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.996$84.66
06-06 18:51Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$11.20
06-06 18:50Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$11.98
06-06 18:50Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$11.98
06-06 18:50Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.968$12.58
06-06 18:49Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.979$21.54
06-06 18:49Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.991$31.71
06-06 18:49Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?SELL0.997$32.90
05-26 11:52Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$31.74
05-26 11:52Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?BUY0.999$32.97
05-26 11:51Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?BUY0.994$32.80
05-26 11:51Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?BUY0.999$54.95
05-26 11:51Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?BUY0.999$4.99