PolyBot

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Traders

beavernikkuh

0xd046a0ee7dd5527675d404940dd9639ccad298b1

Realised P&L
$-9.3k
Volume
$413.3k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$511.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.715$440.00+$40.00
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1920.034$52.39−$247.60
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0950.004$18.87−$381.13
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$20.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$1.1k
Lakers vs. Warriors · Warriors0.0080.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$20.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$69.99
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference? · No0.0290.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 18:51Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6499999998$400.00
10-19 19:54Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0953741225$400.00
10-19 19:52Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1918147585$300.00
10-19 19:52Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.0490043437$337.66
09-15 18:38Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.08$90.00
09-15 18:37Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.08$100.00
09-15 18:29Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1771697849$800.00
06-09 03:02Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.0060915427$100.00
06-09 03:02World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?SELL0.0212419344$135.95
06-09 02:00Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.0059999999$40.00
06-08 22:46World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?BUY0.05$300.00
06-08 22:46US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.0488867435$346.37
06-08 22:46World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?BUY0.05$20.00
06-08 01:19Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.0039697945$200.00
06-05 18:02Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.0459999996$100.00