beavernikkuh
0xd046a0ee7dd5527675d404940dd9639ccad298b1
- Realised P&L
- $-9.3k
- Volume
- $413.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $511.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$315.73at 0.240Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
- +$47.42at 0.571Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$45.77at 0.679Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$43.24at 0.270Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
- +$21.30at 0.605Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 18:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999998 | $400.00 |
| 10-19 19:54 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0953741225 | $400.00 |
| 10-19 19:52 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1918147585 | $300.00 |
| 10-19 19:52 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.0490043437 | $337.66 |
| 09-15 18:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $90.00 |
| 09-15 18:37 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 18:29 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1771697849 | $800.00 |
| 06-09 03:02 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0060915427 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 03:02 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | SELL | 0.0212419344 | $135.95 |
| 06-09 02:00 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0059999999 | $40.00 |
| 06-08 22:46 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.05 | $300.00 |
| 06-08 22:46 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.0488867435 | $346.37 |
| 06-08 22:46 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 01:19 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0039697945 | $200.00 |
| 06-05 18:02 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0459999996 | $100.00 |