PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD044C9bb109c57F28073610D16D043529C55e007-1768543962713

0xd044c9bb109c57f28073610d16d043529c55e007

Realised P&L
$-530.53
Volume
$68.1k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$57.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 21:56Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 21?BUY0.0699999998$3.00
10-19 21:54Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 21?BUY0.33$15.51
10-19 21:53Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 21?BUY0.06$0.48
10-19 21:53Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 21?BUY0.03575$0.71
10-19 21:52Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 21?BUY0.0149999999$1.00
10-19 14:04Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 19?SELL0.99$24.03
10-19 09:53Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 20?BUY0.1799999998$16.00
10-19 09:53Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 20?BUY0.045$0.46
10-19 09:52Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 20?BUY0.018$1.26
10-19 09:51Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 20?BUY0.008$1.00
10-18 23:02Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 19?SELL0.7991074681$4.39
10-18 23:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 18?SELL0.9818467401$11.60
10-18 22:59Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 18?SELL0.999$3.29
10-18 18:21Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 19?BUY0.0076837964$1.00
10-18 18:21Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 19?BUY0.0277333328$1.00