3iron
0xd03bc280ca482ee48826b72aa435a331a04e042b
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $351.3k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.499Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$2.8kat 0.107Will XRP reach $1.60 in August?
- +$2.1kat 0.156Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$1.9kat 0.031Will XRP reach $1.40 in August?
- +$1.4kat 0.138Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 07:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1977578475 | $44.10 |
| 09-23 05:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5049999854 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 05:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-23 05:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5579999325 | $1.14 |
| 09-23 04:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5639999999 | $231.42 |
| 09-23 04:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $3.10 |
| 09-23 04:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.1362211456 | $47.55 |
| 09-23 04:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.08 | $34.83 |
| 09-23 04:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.08 | $6.93 |
| 09-23 04:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4939999887 | $16.32 |
| 09-23 03:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4979999714 | $4.59 |
| 09-23 03:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $26.74 |
| 09-23 03:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4919614148 | $3.06 |
| 09-23 02:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.2 | $14.70 |
| 09-23 01:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999897 | $3.12 |