pantomime
0xd0394bd0de8d901c3fde039a86bf08e6aa4a2532
- Realised P&L
- $182.7k
- Volume
- $23.73M
- Markets traded
- 2,742
- Open portfolio
- $46.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,742
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.0kat 0.006Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$61.1kat 0.208Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$50.5kat 0.307Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$50.0kat 0.333Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$47.5kat 0.009Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:09 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-16 20:12 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $75.68 |
| 09-16 20:12 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 09-16 19:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7472179409 | $2.7k |
| 09-16 03:47 | Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.2493517465 | $352.73 |
| 09-16 00:36 | Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.19 |
| 09-15 16:20 | Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | BUY | 0.1617813036 | $219.03 |
| 09-15 13:47 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.75 | $84.19 |
| 09-15 00:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $9.9k |
| 09-14 21:44 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.79 | $903.42 |
| 09-14 21:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.4k |
| 09-14 21:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7898212557 | $530.25 |
| 09-14 16:22 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.25 | $101.00 |
| 09-14 16:00 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.0k |
| 09-14 14:21 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8398323093 | $1.3k |