0xF39411fe0cc8627cF5c5098DA899B0548ff71277-1775444086233
0xd035d670ab054192c7a77584b9cc41be7b444473
- Realised P&L
- $17.79
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $31.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AMD (AMD) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.294 | 0.470 | $15.98 | +$5.98 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.210 | 0.110 | $7.86 | −$7.14 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.259 | 0.125 | $7.77 | −$8.33 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 26 2026? · Yes | 0.645 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.95at 0.603Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.93at 0.610Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$19.62at 0.611Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$10.16at 0.659Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$9.17at 0.620Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:24 | Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart | SELL | 0.06 | $0.51 |
| 10-31 09:16 | Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart | BUY | 0.6099999644 | $5.14 |
| 10-31 09:16 | Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart | SELL | 0.35 | $5.22 |
| 10-31 08:56 | Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 21:26 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-30? | BUY | 0.479999969 | $4.96 |
| 10-30 21:21 | Barcelona vs. Valencia | SELL | 0.234454343 | $5.26 |
| 10-30 17:44 | Barcelona vs. Valencia | BUY | 0.4399999893 | $9.88 |
| 10-30 17:38 | Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 16:11 | Will AMD (AMD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2940426921 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 16:02 | Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2713695713 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 15:59 | Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.10 |
| 10-30 13:19 | Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.17 |
| 10-29 15:35 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.5118110115 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 15:09 | Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 10-28 19:04 | Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |