PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

awwwwva

0xd029bed414e1ef5a0c09bcb379dbedf5b2271909

Realised P&L
$-8.0k
Volume
$200.2k
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$33.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.8900.880$33.62−$0.38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 29? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.6530.000$0.00−$2.7k
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$1.0k
Cowboys vs. Commanders · Commanders0.2200.000$0.00−$566.00
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gabon vs. Mozambique end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$761.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 28? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$4.00
Broncos vs. Chiefs · Chiefs0.1200.000$0.00−$80.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 28? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers0.4680.000$0.00−$1.1k
Ravens vs. Packers · Packers0.6600.000$0.00−$1.4k
76ers vs. Bulls · 76ers0.4940.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 17:24Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.8899999987$34.00
08-27 00:10Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?BUY0.9779999998$13.00
08-27 00:09Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August?BUY0.9829999947$10.00
07-20 16:19Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.996$10.00
07-20 16:18Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 20?BUY0.997999908$10.00
05-31 21:31Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.9249999699$10.00
05-31 21:28Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9699999331$10.00
05-31 21:28Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?BUY0.999$10.00
04-19 01:39Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?BUY0.999$33.00
03-31 03:30Wizards vs. LakersBUY0.9946743937$17.71
02-21 04:19Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.7347169788$12.98
01-23 09:03Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.992$12.84
12-29 08:23Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
12-29 01:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 29?BUY0.001$1.00
12-29 01:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 29?BUY0.001$1.00