awwwwva
0xd029bed414e1ef5a0c09bcb379dbedf5b2271909
- Realised P&L
- $-8.0k
- Volume
- $200.2k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $33.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.491Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$983.53at 0.680Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$890.43at 0.250Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$531.00at 0.400Bulls vs. Hawks
- +$496.57at 0.240Lions vs. Vikings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 17:24 | Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.8899999987 | $34.00 |
| 08-27 00:10 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9779999998 | $13.00 |
| 08-27 00:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9829999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 16:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.997999908 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 21:31 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9249999699 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 21:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999331 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 21:28 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 01:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.00 |
| 03-31 03:30 | Wizards vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.9946743937 | $17.71 |
| 02-21 04:19 | Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.7347169788 | $12.98 |
| 01-23 09:03 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $12.84 |
| 12-29 08:23 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 01:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 29? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 01:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 29? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |