PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd028c7132Fa1A4CE7b9C026693de43dEc16Bf35d-1772476217178

0xd028c7132fa1a4ce7b9c026693de43dec16bf35d

Realised P&L
$-44.68
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$59.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.7001.000$14.29+$4.29
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? · Yes0.2901.000$13.79+$9.79
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes0.9401.000$10.64+$0.64
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · Yes0.3301.000$9.09+$6.09
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0430.021$4.97$5.03
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$3.44$6.56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? · Yes0.2800.105$2.63$4.38
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1630.011$0.64$9.36
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$3.00
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$5.00
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7? · Yes0.3610.000$0.00$4.00
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$2.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$4.00
Will Trump say "Ice Cream" this week? (March 8) · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$3.00
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31? · No0.4560.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-02 19:10Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?BUY0.299999955$4.00
03-02 19:09Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?BUY0.4560777018$5.00
03-02 19:08U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?BUY0.4699998919$2.00
03-02 19:06Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0212042744$3.00
03-02 19:05Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
03-02 19:00U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?BUY0.28$7.00
03-02 18:59Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.3299999296$3.00
03-02 18:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.699999993$10.00
03-02 18:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
03-02 18:57Will Leavitt say "Fake news" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.3399999081$1.85
03-02 18:55Will Trump say "N Word" in March?BUY0.1299999627$3.00
03-02 18:52Zuffa Boxing 4: Panin vs. Bunch (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.8$5.00
03-02 18:51NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?BUY0.0431834452$5.00
03-02 18:51Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.0432992836$10.00
03-02 18:47Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1719999571$3.00