PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mxmssj

0xd01f5fc3c016fe4db80afe85625c62d01e8374ab

Realised P&L
$-539.92
Volume
$149.0k
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$58.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.140$29.08+$4.18
Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0480.045$19.75−$1.28
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2800.125$5.00−$6.20
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4000.700$4.83+$2.07
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro0.2900.000$0.00−$31.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.33
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Botafogo FR vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? · No0.4300.000$0.00−$10.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up0.4250.000$0.00−$230.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5520.000$0.00−$18.70
Will Trump say "tariff" by March 28? · No0.0830.000$0.00−$41.70
Pelicans vs. Rockets · Pelicans0.1400.000$0.00−$11.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down - July 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Up0.0870.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 20:26Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.185$153.94
10-19 20:17Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.231999999$32.31
10-19 20:16Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.15$13.89
10-19 20:15Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.048982572$15.21
10-19 20:15Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0472499531$2.52
10-19 20:15Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.044$3.30
10-19 20:13Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.11$6.60
10-19 20:12Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.08$4.41
10-04 20:18Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4589999996$185.32
10-03 22:52Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.66$31.65
10-03 22:52Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?SELL0.6108240773$160.03
09-30 22:02Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4299999969$54.66
09-30 22:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.029264985$57.81
09-30 12:37Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4360816865$70.63
09-30 12:33Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2960200658$73.76