mxmssj
0xd01f5fc3c016fe4db80afe85625c62d01e8374ab
- Realised P&L
- $-539.92
- Volume
- $149.0k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $58.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.002Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.263Will Rodri join Real Madrid?
- +$1.0kat 0.239Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
- +$509.98at 0.083Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?
- +$506.00at 0.124Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 20:26 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.185 | $153.94 |
| 10-19 20:17 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.231999999 | $32.31 |
| 10-19 20:16 | Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.15 | $13.89 |
| 10-19 20:15 | Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.048982572 | $15.21 |
| 10-19 20:15 | Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0472499531 | $2.52 |
| 10-19 20:15 | Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.044 | $3.30 |
| 10-19 20:13 | Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 10-19 20:12 | Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.41 |
| 10-04 20:18 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4589999996 | $185.32 |
| 10-03 22:52 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | SELL | 0.66 | $31.65 |
| 10-03 22:52 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | SELL | 0.6108240773 | $160.03 |
| 09-30 22:02 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4299999969 | $54.66 |
| 09-30 22:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | SELL | 0.029264985 | $57.81 |
| 09-30 12:37 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4360816865 | $70.63 |
| 09-30 12:33 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2960200658 | $73.76 |