0xd01a8a94a0dffdf0fbf721de831072ecc98af7a4
0xd01a8a94a0dffdf0fbf721de831072ecc98af7a4
- Realised P&L
- $2.85
- Volume
- $108.11
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $33.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Dalibor Svrcina · Rinky Hijikata | 0.500 | 0.415 | $14.48 | −$2.97 |
| Hangzhou Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng · Yunchaokete Bu | 0.500 | 0.435 | $10.02 | −$1.50 |
| Set Handicap: Miomir Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (+1.5) · Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0.500 | 0.620 | $8.88 | +$1.72 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Chicago White Sox | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.22at 0.500San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$12.54at 0.500Set Handicap: Titouan Droguet (-1.5) vs Borna Gojo (+1.5)
- +$8.65at 0.500Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever
- +$1.48at 0.500Ankara: Fangran Tian vs Elena Micic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 03:24 | Ankara: Fangran Tian vs Elena Micic | SELL | 0.61 | $9.20 |
| 09-23 20:12 | San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | SELL | 0.899 | $17.19 |
| 09-23 20:12 | San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | SELL | 0.897 | $24.40 |
| 09-23 18:07 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | SELL | 0.52 | $24.28 |