0xd00694d154201a07cc074e621a916378884b3b50
0xd00694d154201a07cc074e621a916378884b3b50
- Realised P&L
- $-57.43
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $27.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · No | 0.800 | 0.675 | $12.65 | −$2.34 |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.932 | 0.958 | $5.11 | +$0.14 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.700 | $5.09 | +$0.15 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat? · No | 0.848 | 0.853 | $5.00 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.56at 0.891Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$3.28at 0.924Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
- +$3.28at 0.924Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$3.05at 0.930Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$2.46at 0.924Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:58 | Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.679999989 | $4.94 |
| 09-22 19:20 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.8479999823 | $4.97 |
| 09-21 14:06 | Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.9319999917 | $4.97 |
| 09-20 22:05 | Will XRP reach $2.60 in September? | SELL | 0.9876262376 | $7.98 |
| 09-20 22:05 | Will XRP reach $2.20 in September? | SELL | 0.974 | $7.92 |
| 09-20 21:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $16.14 |
| 09-20 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.4771665642 | $7.76 |
| 09-20 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9101840491 | $14.84 |
| 09-20 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $7.38 |
| 09-20 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $16.11 |
| 09-20 19:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 17:23 | Matheus Cunha: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.99 | $14.91 |
| 09-20 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $7.53 |
| 09-20 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $16.14 |
| 09-20 16:47 | Degerfors IF vs. Hammarby IF: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.979 | $14.92 |