86675867
0xcff1f459801ed49061e44f5812a2a7d1ef96904b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$34.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.50 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of May 25 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of June 29 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $332 Week of June 8 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 28? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.44at 0.965Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 15?
- +$50.12at 0.500Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)
- +$49.92at 0.500Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of May 25 2026?
- +$47.50at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 28?
- +$46.31at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.966 | $9.66 |
| 05-15 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 15? | BUY | 0.963 | $1.9k |
| 03-18 12:37 | Spread: Devils (-1.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $1.1k |
| 03-18 12:36 | Spread: Devils (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7 | $140.00 |
| 03-18 12:18 | Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) | BUY | 0.938 | $196.98 |