0xcff012c5120c201841bbe5bf0d56d532bdfe9f39
- Realised P&L
- $-240.48
- Volume
- $51.9k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $53.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.095 | $40.23 | −$23.29 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.029 | $6.93 | −$36.07 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.001 | $6.10 | −$124.19 |
| Will Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11AM ET · Up | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$869.13at 0.165Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 11?
- +$94.57at 0.401Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9AM ET
- +$85.55at 0.412Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 11?
- +$69.16at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5AM ET
- +$6.95at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 13:41 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.0624272742 | $11.48 |
| 09-14 13:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $43.00 |
| 09-14 13:35 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $39.18 |
| 09-13 16:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0108536682 | $25.12 |
| 09-13 16:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0106384423 | $105.19 |
| 09-13 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 15:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $17.02 |
| 09-13 15:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $20.70 |
| 09-13 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13? | SELL | 0.0986176652 | $23.95 |
| 09-13 14:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.24 |
| 09-13 13:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $172.16 |
| 09-13 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13? | BUY | 0.07 | $17.00 |
| 09-13 13:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.0191121212 | $18.92 |
| 09-13 13:27 | Will Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999988 | $65.00 |
| 09-13 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999993 | $65.00 |