0xCfEf9d2F2Bb04B4fb13FA5511B979bD7a9df4dfE-1776133971875
0xcfef9d2f2bb04b4fb13fa5511b979bd7a9df4dfe
- Realised P&L
- $-14.09
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 416
- Open portfolio
- $127.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded416
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.47at 0.212Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$135.15at 0.215Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
- +$130.06at 0.235Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
- +$85.07at 0.534Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
- +$81.89at 0.218Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 20:01 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2099999995 | $22.00 |
| 09-08 18:12 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.3899999967 | $20.11 |
| 09-06 17:23 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | BUY | 0.1699999934 | $17.32 |
| 08-22 19:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.37 | $38.00 |
| 08-09 13:38 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $66.16 |
| 08-09 13:32 | Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.769999999 | $77.90 |
| 08-02 12:06 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.4 | $8.45 |
| 07-30 22:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2399999971 | $49.51 |
| 07-26 12:37 | Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5) | BUY | 0.3499999734 | $7.24 |
| 07-26 12:10 | Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.26 |
| 07-25 12:04 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2170308968 | $45.00 |
| 07-23 01:50 | Will CS Cristal win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.2799999869 | $14.53 |
| 07-19 20:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.2999999888 | $16.06 |
| 07-19 18:58 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.58 |
| 07-15 20:54 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.9075 | $189.74 |