PolyBot

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Traders

Mi3a08

0xcfe8ad54354c68333784d07d94a5c0bbe0e6f1b2

Realised P&L
$1.09
Volume
$125.0k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$2.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9940.993$2.04$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 06:23Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.9939999435$2.04
09-13 06:23Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?SELL0.971$2.40
08-05 12:19Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.9399999839$2.33
07-27 09:02Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?BUY0.9869999956$2.22
06-04 07:16Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 6?BUY0.9829999949$2.30
05-22 03:48Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?BUY0.9769999953$1.88
04-07 14:36Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 8?BUY0.9899996917$2.28
04-02 06:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 3?BUY0.975$2.22
04-02 06:09Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.982$2.23
03-19 07:20Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.9809999925$2.23
03-15 11:51Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?BUY0.9979999523$2.22
02-24 08:20Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?BUY0.9819999964$2.18
01-31 03:13Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 31?BUY0.9959995504$2.18
01-09 12:53Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?BUY0.9929999972$2.16
12-29 10:16Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31?BUY0.996$2.15