0xcfd9f6029a92e5a73ed80d609fb54f385bb69ba2
0xcfd9f6029a92e5a73ed80d609fb54f385bb69ba2
- Realised P&L
- $-365.48
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $0.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.69at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$15.37at 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
- +$13.06at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
- +$12.41at 0.305Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$11.71at 0.219Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 15:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 01:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $4.00 |