PolyBot

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Traders

ElonMadeMe

0xcfd98f6333af3402c05662adf85dec530232c4cd

Realised P&L
$35.92
Volume
$94.9k
Markets traded
455
Open portfolio
$13.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded455
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Deportivo La Coruña finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? · Yes0.0200.020$2.50+$0.00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0500.045$2.25$0.25
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of September 26? · No0.0150.013$2.08$0.41
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? · Yes0.0500.030$1.52$0.97
Will Leeds United finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes0.0160.017$1.36+$0.08
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0540.025$1.10$1.33
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · No0.0660.021$0.75$1.56
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.0200.004$0.56$1.94
Will Du Pereira win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0160.003$0.39$2.11
Will Atalanta win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.0160.013$0.26$0.07
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.0600.041$0.12$0.06
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0460.044$0.12$0.00
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.0200.082$0.10+$0.08
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? · Yes0.0210.030$0.09+$0.03
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0240.013$0.09$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:11Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.005$0.55
09-17 00:14Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?SELL0.01$1.04
09-15 01:27Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be less than 900,000?SELL0.01$0.23
09-14 09:32Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be less than 310,000?SELL0.005$0.15
09-14 00:47Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.01$0.94
09-05 03:18Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.012$1.14
09-03 14:50Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.002$0.18
09-02 14:55Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?SELL0.008$1.00
08-31 21:02US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?SELL0.001$0.01
08-31 21:00US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?SELL0.001$0.02
08-31 20:59Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?SELL0.004$0.14
08-31 20:59US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?SELL0.003$0.39
08-30 21:00Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.001$0.04
08-30 14:20Will Régis Gaudreault win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?SELL0.001$0.11
08-30 12:11Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01