ElonMadeMe
0xcfd98f6333af3402c05662adf85dec530232c4cd
- Realised P&L
- $35.92
- Volume
- $94.9k
- Markets traded
- 455
- Open portfolio
- $13.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded455
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.62at 0.017Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?
- +$10.67at 0.020Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 920m and 940m by August 31?
- +$5.72at 0.022Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
- +$3.99at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on August 1?
- +$3.94at 0.020Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:11 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.55 |
| 09-17 00:14 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.04 |
| 09-15 01:27 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be less than 900,000? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.23 |
| 09-14 09:32 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be less than 310,000? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.15 |
| 09-14 00:47 | Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.94 |
| 09-05 03:18 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.14 |
| 09-03 14:50 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.18 |
| 09-02 14:55 | Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 21:02 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-31 21:00 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-31 20:59 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.14 |
| 08-31 20:59 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.39 |
| 08-30 21:00 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-30 14:20 | Will Régis Gaudreault win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 08-30 12:11 | Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |