0xcfd0ae174ae2607a6a60eaf9eb9676f81594fbc9
- Realised P&L
- $1.15
- Volume
- $565.00
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $98.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.40at 0.800Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$1.08at 0.500US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$0.08at 0.320Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$-0.41at 0.574Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$-1.10at 0.200Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 09:24 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.20 |
| 07-08 15:21 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 07-05 06:01 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.308 | $2.16 |
| 06-25 01:25 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 06-22 19:47 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $6.16 |
| 06-20 19:45 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 06-17 13:38 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 06-17 12:35 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $23.80 |
| 06-15 08:35 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.47 |
| 06-13 06:40 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.10 |
| 06-06 11:00 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.884 | $7.96 |
| 06-04 09:06 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.87 |
| 06-01 21:59 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.56 |
| 06-01 21:59 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 06-01 21:59 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.471 | $3.30 |