PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCfCBbe90B64F4B74FFC79990009aAFBb9D38Cc42-1780924943167

0xcfcbbe90b64f4b74ffc79990009aafbb9d38cc42

Realised P&L
$8.41
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$16.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0240.090$2.92+$2.15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3200.305$2.76$0.14
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1350.112$1.65$0.35
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat? · Yes0.1200.135$1.46+$0.16
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0900.115$1.28+$0.28
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1060.045$1.27$1.73
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.205$1.02+$0.03
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2200.215$0.98$0.02
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0210.019$0.93$0.07
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0040.004$0.88$0.12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.045$0.50$0.50
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0070.003$0.36$0.64
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.021$0.26$3.04
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0070.001$0.07$0.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 16:56Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
07-26 16:56Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?SELL0.83$9.28
07-26 16:53Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.8599999893$9.62
07-26 16:49Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.2$1.00
07-26 16:49Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-26 16:48Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
07-26 16:48Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-26 16:48Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.134999949$2.00
07-20 14:05Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1099999521$2.00
07-20 14:02Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1$1.00
07-20 14:01Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$1.00
07-20 14:01Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$1.00
07-20 14:01Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.006999993$1.00
07-20 14:00Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.006999993$1.00
07-20 13:57Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?SELL0.1$0.91