PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Dubya

0xcfc7c5346873f8c511c271cae3d71cef7f4569eb

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$574.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-19.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2590.065$574.71$1.7k
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$66.51
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? · Yes0.5810.000$0.00$40.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$106.90
New Diddy charges before November? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-03 04:41Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
01-08 18:01Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.3201298617$180.00
01-08 18:01Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.32$50.00
01-08 18:00Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.32$100.00
01-08 17:58Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.32$100.00
01-05 05:12Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.3299999953$35.15
09-06 01:07Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?BUY0.5472636774$20.00
09-05 17:12Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?BUY0.6199999981$20.00
02-27 18:05Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
02-27 18:03Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
02-27 18:01Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
11-16 04:42Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?BUY0.3699999981$66.51
09-25 17:12Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?BUY0.16$20.00
09-25 17:12Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?BUY0.16$20.00
09-24 22:55Crimean bridge hit before October?SELL0.032$0.84