Dubya
0xcfc7c5346873f8c511c271cae3d71cef7f4569eb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $574.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.065 | $574.71 | −$1.7k |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.51 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? · Yes | 0.581 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.90 |
| New Diddy charges before November? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.19at 0.540Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?
- +$4.69at 0.810Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
- +$1.08at 0.480Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$1.07at 0.482Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.37at 0.730Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-03 04:41 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 01-08 18:01 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3201298617 | $180.00 |
| 01-08 18:01 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 01-08 18:00 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 01-08 17:58 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 05:12 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999953 | $35.15 |
| 09-06 01:07 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? | BUY | 0.5472636774 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 17:12 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 02-27 18:05 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 18:03 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 18:01 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 11-16 04:42 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.3699999981 | $66.51 |
| 09-25 17:12 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 17:12 | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 22:55 | Crimean bridge hit before October? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.84 |