laolumanjuuma
0xcfc5c9b7635990ced27735fd90f8e01db1967921
- Realised P&L
- $105.59
- Volume
- $78.1k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.998 | $5.0k | +$5.81 |
| Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $4.1k | +$0.00 |
| Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $1.9k | −$1.91 |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.982 | $111.79 | −$1.51 |
| Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $25.75 | +$0.01 |
| Will "Cleveland! - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $24.99 | +$0.01 |
| Israel Election: The Democrats Effectively Banned? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $10.71 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.25at 0.990Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?
- +$5.00at 0.999Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01?
- +$5.00at 0.999Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?
- +$5.00at 0.999Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
- +$5.00at 0.999China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 14:44 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week? | BUY | 0.9947170325 | $113.30 |
| 10-02 14:15 | Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.9k |
| 10-02 14:15 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.1k |
| 10-02 14:12 | Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.996837934 | $5.0k |
| 10-02 13:48 | Israel Election: The Democrats Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.74 |
| 10-02 13:44 | Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.73 |
| 10-02 13:38 | Counter-Strike: Voca vs GLITCH (BO1) - ROG Journey Group D | BUY | 0.999 | $14.25 |
| 10-02 13:03 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.997 | $755.92 |
| 10-02 13:03 | Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.999 | $80.97 |
| 10-02 12:54 | Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Matrix (BO1) - ROG Journey Group C | BUY | 0.9988068293 | $10.24 |
| 10-02 12:33 | Counter-Strike: PURE vs Nice Try (BO3) - FOX Legacy Cup Play-Ins | BUY | 0.999 | $26.46 |
| 10-02 12:05 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.999 | $52.82 |
| 10-02 11:40 | Set 1 Winner: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BUY | 0.998 | $16.88 |
| 10-02 10:49 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 10:47 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.70 |