PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

laolumanjuuma

0xcfc5c9b7635990ced27735fd90f8e01db1967921

Realised P&L
$105.59
Volume
$78.1k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$11.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? · Yes0.9970.998$5.0k+$5.81
Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? · No0.9980.998$4.1k+$0.00
Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? · No0.9990.998$1.9k−$1.91
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week? · Yes0.9950.982$111.79−$1.51
Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned? · No0.9991.000$25.75+$0.01
Will "Cleveland! - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week? · Yes0.9991.000$24.99+$0.01
Israel Election: The Democrats Effectively Banned? · No0.9990.996$10.71−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 14:44Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week?BUY0.9947170325$113.30
10-02 14:15Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.999$1.9k
10-02 14:15Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.998$4.1k
10-02 14:12Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?BUY0.996837934$5.0k
10-02 13:48Israel Election: The Democrats Effectively Banned?BUY0.999$10.74
10-02 13:44Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?BUY0.999$25.73
10-02 13:38Counter-Strike: Voca vs GLITCH (BO1) - ROG Journey Group DBUY0.999$14.25
10-02 13:03Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.997$755.92
10-02 13:03Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.999$80.97
10-02 12:54Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Matrix (BO1) - ROG Journey Group CBUY0.9988068293$10.24
10-02 12:33Counter-Strike: PURE vs Nice Try (BO3) - FOX Legacy Cup Play-InsBUY0.999$26.46
10-02 12:05Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yomiuri GiantsBUY0.999$52.82
10-02 11:40Set 1 Winner: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna SabalenkaBUY0.998$16.88
10-02 10:49Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?BUY0.999$5.00
10-02 10:47Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?BUY0.999$57.70