PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ballena

0xcfc51c0a1a5a78845127d9d9dcb1236f700dc7cf

Realised P&L
$806.64
Volume
$2.50M
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$186.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.3820.555$165.9k+$51.8k
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1360.145$18.0k+$1.1k
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1000.045$2.8k$3.5k
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group · Gen.G0.6450.000$0.00$4.3k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00$34.6k
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$12.2k
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$2.7k
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance · Switzerland0.2450.000$0.00$3.7k
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · Belgium0.2650.000$0.00$4.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 01:59Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.05$869.97
09-09 07:50Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.1$1.6k
08-23 12:16Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.5$1.3k
08-23 06:50Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.15$1.1k
08-23 06:50Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.49$1.1k
08-22 08:14Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.5$5.0k
08-21 14:01Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.39$3.3k
08-19 13:46Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.46$133.48
08-18 16:07Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.1$10.0k
08-18 15:47Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.14$4.2k
08-17 04:53Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.13$8.9k
08-17 04:53Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.42$792.39
08-08 01:48Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.41$6.7k
08-07 13:13Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.42$5.8k
08-07 00:45Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.44$10.0k