ballena
0xcfc51c0a1a5a78845127d9d9dcb1236f700dc7cf
- Realised P&L
- $806.64
- Volume
- $2.50M
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $186.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.555 | $165.9k | +$51.8k |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.145 | $18.0k | +$1.1k |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.045 | $2.8k | −$3.5k |
| LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group · Gen.G | 0.645 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.6k |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.2k |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance · Switzerland | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.7k |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · Belgium | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.477Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$4.5kat 0.547Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$4.3kat 0.567Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$4.2kat 0.696Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:59 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.05 | $869.97 |
| 09-09 07:50 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.6k |
| 08-23 12:16 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.3k |
| 08-23 06:50 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.1k |
| 08-23 06:50 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.1k |
| 08-22 08:14 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.0k |
| 08-21 14:01 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.3k |
| 08-19 13:46 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.46 | $133.48 |
| 08-18 16:07 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.0k |
| 08-18 15:47 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.2k |
| 08-17 04:53 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $8.9k |
| 08-17 04:53 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.42 | $792.39 |
| 08-08 01:48 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.41 | $6.7k |
| 08-07 13:13 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.42 | $5.8k |
| 08-07 00:45 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.44 | $10.0k |