PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcFC40658Dd05c1e1ce7c8b1c2B346BfCC3e2c423-1744120135877

0xcfc40658dd05c1e1ce7c8b1c2b346bfcc3e2c423

Realised P&L
$880.85
Volume
$23.9k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$670.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1500.070$633.18$732.96
Will Alberta join the US? · No0.9600.979$25.49+$0.49
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? · No0.8710.935$11.80+$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 04:37Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1156315956$5.00
06-30 01:21Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1009999829$5.00
06-24 01:30Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1069999831$5.00
06-22 21:14Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.125$5.00
06-10 01:42Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1424786564$10.00
06-09 03:21Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1527729172$100.00
06-09 00:04Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1498882609$90.00
06-08 23:58Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1487768223$10.00
06-05 21:19Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1427253713$30.00
06-05 20:53Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?BUY0.8799999413$6.00
06-05 20:50Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1414132289$100.00
06-05 20:49Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.999$3.0k
06-05 18:02Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1384822303$25.00
06-05 15:10Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1796442798$5.00
06-05 15:00Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.1994017946$5.00