PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcfc38681D478eb8a4919CD86f1ADA17A06e72001-1768585967419

0xcfc38681d478eb8a4919cd86f1ada17a06e72001

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$165.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar36.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.6620.525$87.25−$22.75
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.15B? · Yes0.3530.275$77.87−$22.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 11:08Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.15B?BUY0.3531690045$100.00
10-10 11:07Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6619212449$110.00
07-25 00:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.9399999962$5.00
07-25 00:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.9399999962$5.00
07-18 12:26Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8866895111$143.51
07-18 12:25Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 net interest income be above $1.025B?BUY0.548780434$50.00
04-21 23:07Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.999$1.1k
04-18 21:20Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.0783377372$85.34