0xcfc38681D478eb8a4919CD86f1ADA17A06e72001-1768585967419
0xcfc38681d478eb8a4919cd86f1ada17a06e72001
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $165.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar36.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.662 | 0.525 | $87.25 | −$22.75 |
| Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.15B? · Yes | 0.353 | 0.275 | $77.87 | −$22.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.082Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$41.11at 0.549Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 net interest income be above $1.025B?
- +$17.53at 0.892Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.60at 0.944Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 11:08 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.15B? | BUY | 0.3531690045 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 11:07 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6619212449 | $110.00 |
| 07-25 00:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 00:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 12:26 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8866895111 | $143.51 |
| 07-18 12:25 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 net interest income be above $1.025B? | BUY | 0.548780434 | $50.00 |
| 04-21 23:07 | Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 04-18 21:20 | Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0783377372 | $85.34 |