witch7
0xcfc2fc76d4999c7c7a0e64e989110b1d0b21aab0
- Realised P&L
- $-81.90
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $246.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.560 | 0.875 | $156.25 | +$56.25 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres | 0.310 | 0.310 | $90.61 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.44at 0.208Japan Open Tennis Championships: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rei Sakamoto
- +$69.39at 0.572Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
- +$60.89at 0.239China Open: Maya Joint vs Sinja Kraus
- +$50.77at 0.502Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5
- +$46.81at 0.522Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 00:44 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.3099999996 | $90.61 |
| 10-03 21:17 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.14 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 21:13 | Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Lanús end in a draw? | BUY | 0.529999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 21:09 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 20:26 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 15:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999904 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 15:05 | Croatia vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 15:05 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 10-03 14:59 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 14:56 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5699999951 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 14:56 | Croatia vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 14:34 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 14:32 | Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.88 | $33.84 |
| 10-03 14:30 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.724999971 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 14:26 | India vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |