Szty1
0xcfc2c4c7a4de2f9db6ea0875e03f355fce090b59
- Realised P&L
- $17.1k
- Volume
- $695.7k
- Markets traded
- 802
- Open portfolio
- $6.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded802
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.830 | $5.39 | +$3.51 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.240 | $1.20 | −$0.95 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.84 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.95 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.78 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on July 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.280Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.239Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.173Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.5% and 43.9% on September 26?
- +$1.4kat 0.285Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 6, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.165Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 19, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:21 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-16 12:20 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.24 |
| 09-16 11:59 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.21 |
| 09-16 11:58 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-16 08:34 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 07-31 19:16 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.87 |
| 07-30 11:00 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.39 |
| 07-30 10:58 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7583860403 | $74.10 |
| 07-30 10:58 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 04:39 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0755402685 | $2.25 |
| 07-30 04:39 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 07-29 18:21 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05125 | $4.10 |
| 07-29 18:21 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.60 |
| 07-29 18:20 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.66 |
| 07-29 18:17 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.54 |