PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcfc1ffc6fad4ff2c27dad9a197a8d8a8d42ceb97

Realised P&L
$-22.56
Volume
$44.0k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$19.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$11.00$10.98
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50$2.50
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50$2.50
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.00$2.00
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 13:45Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
09-16 17:40Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
09-16 16:04Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.001$1.00
09-15 13:13Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
09-15 05:45Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
09-14 16:07Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
08-28 16:45Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
08-28 04:48Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
08-27 16:49Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
08-27 05:35Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
08-24 17:05Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.12
08-23 14:28Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0240852016$1.00
08-23 11:46Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.0010219006$0.47
08-22 13:54Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002153417$1.00
08-18 10:47Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$2.00