PolyBot

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Traders

0xcfc1ffc6fad4ff2c27dad9a197a8d8a8d42ceb97

0xcfc1ffc6fad4ff2c27dad9a197a8d8a8d42ceb97

Realised P&L
$-23.45
Volume
$70.1k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$14.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$4.50−$4.49
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.00−$2.00
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$1.50−$1.50
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:15Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$3.00
10-15 16:35Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.53
10-14 06:11Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.05
10-13 17:27Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
10-12 13:26Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
10-08 09:57Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
10-08 09:56Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
10-07 10:29Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
10-06 16:54Will AEK Athens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
10-06 08:29Will AEK Athens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
10-05 06:03Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
10-05 06:03Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
10-04 09:47Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
10-03 08:26Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
10-02 16:39Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50