0xcfc1ffc6fad4ff2c27dad9a197a8d8a8d42ceb97
- Realised P&L
- $-22.56
- Volume
- $44.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $19.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $11.00 | −$10.98 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $2.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.91at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$1.83at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$1.83at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$-0.56at 0.002Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
- +$-0.56at 0.002Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:45 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:40 | Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-16 16:04 | Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:13 | Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 05:45 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 16:07 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 16:45 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 08-28 04:48 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 16:49 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 08-27 05:35 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 17:05 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.12 |
| 08-23 14:28 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0240852016 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 11:46 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0010219006 | $0.47 |
| 08-22 13:54 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002153417 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 10:47 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |