PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcFc09EEEa764D31798237c1cfE1C82e36519BbB4-1768452077879

0xcfc09eeea764d31798237c1cfe1c82e36519bbb4

Realised P&L
$-353.09
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$15.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? · No0.9290.941$15.13+$0.18
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.05−$0.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No0.5740.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.6700.000$0.00−$17.97
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$1.00
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 26? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.00
James Comey arrested by April 28? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$2.80
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$314.46
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No0.7760.000$0.00−$98.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 09:57Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?BUY0.9289999983$14.95
09-20 08:48Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.6699999881$17.97
09-14 07:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.21$19.00
09-03 14:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6099999962$55.21
09-01 10:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.42$57.85
08-29 09:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5799999983$79.89
08-29 09:08Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.984$81.72
08-26 12:52Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.8789999889$73.00
08-25 03:16Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.5555856944$75.89
08-21 23:19Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.7169999993$97.94
08-20 00:30Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.7759999987$98.22
08-14 09:58Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.9$314.46
07-31 08:24Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.38$0.40
07-31 08:24Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.915$0.92
07-21 23:58Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 22?SELL0.08$14.84