muttroyalty
0xcfbfc962de60366b6b5d9b3098dcf99d8d288f94
- Realised P&L
- $3.40
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $485.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? · Yes | 0.695 | 0.675 | $485.87 | −$14.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.70at 0.502Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$3.83at 0.105Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 11:21 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.6946285761 | $500.00 |
| 01-25 23:55 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | SELL | 0.6395545181 | $63.70 |
| 01-25 23:37 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | SELL | 0.1459793096 | $13.83 |
| 01-24 19:27 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.1055526594 | $10.00 |
| 01-24 19:25 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | BUY | 0.5019999982 | $50.00 |