PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cowsgomoo

0xcfb5269461bc16f97bad7d915533a2efe1fb11af

Realised P&L
$-459.28
Volume
$19.8k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$2.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.1650.260$1.30+$0.47
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? · Judge0.7200.013$0.81$42.39
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$96.00
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · No0.8600.000$0.00$51.60
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$37.20
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · No0.6500.000$0.00$39.00
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? · Yes0.5860.000$0.00$175.80
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30? · No0.7600.000$0.00$45.60
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$10.20
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03? · No0.0900.000$0.00$5.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00$4.00
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu · Yibing Wu0.6600.000$0.00$79.86
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$136.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 14:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.4599999563$4.00
09-09 14:45Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel RinconSELL0.999$4.19
09-09 12:02Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel RinconBUY0.6199999666$2.60
06-21 18:39Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.7$136.50
06-21 18:08Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.144$7.92
06-21 18:08Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?SELL0.6$36.00
06-21 18:03Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5SELL0.999$89.91
06-21 17:30Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5BUY0.63$56.70
06-21 17:29Will Lamine Yamal score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$59.94
06-19 21:25Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.16$96.00
06-19 21:06United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.999$99.90
06-19 20:14United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.65$65.00
06-19 20:12Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?SELL0.993$59.59
06-17 13:20Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELL0.987$59.21
06-17 13:20Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.753$45.17