oshuhrat
0xcfad8f350cf880fbf0d17210e805fb0e055b609e
- Realised P&L
- $0.14
- Volume
- $117.98
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $41.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.635 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? · Yes | 0.701 | 0.987 | $7.04 | +$2.04 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.635 | $5.12 | +$0.12 |
| Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.780 | 0.775 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.650 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.585 | $4.57 | −$0.43 |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.210 | $4.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.62at 0.757Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Gardner Minshew start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?
- +$-1.96at 0.342Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 07:58 | Will Gardner Minshew start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026? | BUY | 0.998001996 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 04:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 09:08 | Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 09:07 | Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.226088947 | $3.46 |
| 09-01 09:02 | Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3269230467 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 09:01 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 09:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 09:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 09:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 08:59 | Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 08:58 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 08:58 | Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 08:57 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.7009999769 | $5.00 |