PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCFaA71FE570

0xcfaa71fe570f34f2deab63dae6eb9219b4d26fe1

Realised P&L
$-384.44
Volume
$71.5k
Markets traded
876
Open portfolio
$2.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded876
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 18? · Yes0.0060.013$2.13+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 17? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 17? · No0.0400.000$0.00$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 17? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:03Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 17?BUY0.04$0.46
09-17 06:58Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.02$1.00
09-16 11:05Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 16?BUY0.01$0.06
09-16 09:20Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.03$0.16
09-15 11:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$8.00
09-15 06:40Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?BUY0.08$0.50
09-15 06:32Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 15?BUY0.003$0.05
09-14 06:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?BUY0.66$9.24
09-14 06:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?BUY0.7$4.90
09-14 05:22Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 14?BUY0.05$0.50
09-13 14:08Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?SELL0.2$1.00
09-13 13:56Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.32$1.60
09-13 13:56Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?SELL0.09$0.90
09-13 13:31Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.15$1.50
09-13 09:51Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 13?BUY0.04$0.40