0xCFaA71FE570
0xcfaa71fe570f34f2deab63dae6eb9219b4d26fe1
- Realised P&L
- $-384.44
- Volume
- $71.5k
- Markets traded
- 876
- Open portfolio
- $2.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded876
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 18? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.013 | $2.13 | +$1.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 17? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.46 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.17at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 22?
- +$28.93at 0.507Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Piastri?
- +$28.55at 0.507Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?
- +$17.80at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?
- +$16.71at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.46 |
| 09-17 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:05 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 09-16 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.16 |
| 09-15 11:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $8.00 |
| 09-15 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.50 |
| 09-15 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 09-14 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.24 |
| 09-14 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.90 |
| 09-14 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-13 14:08 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 13:56 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-13 13:56 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 09-13 13:31 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-13 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.40 |